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By Type:
Table of contents:
Executive Summary
The Recession: Background
Maori Asset Base5
Background
Risks
Maori Business
Background
Risks
Maori Employment
Background
Risks
Maori Education, Skills and Qualifications
Background
Risks
Maori Housing22
Background
Risks
Maori Income24
Background
Risks
Key Drivers of Future Change28
Moving to the innovation economy
Redistribution of world economic power
Climate change and resource pressures
Strengths of Maori Business29
Appendices
Treasury �Downside� Forecasts
Maori Employment
Figure 1: Maori School Leavers, by qualification, and Maori Tertiary Enrolments
Ngā Tānga Kupu
The Implications of a Recession for the Māori Economy
Risks
Māori employment and other economic activity is concentrated in sectors which are particularly exposed to international developments. Overall the Māori working population is also younger and less qualified than other groups, increasing the risks of job losses and reducing wage bargaining power. Māori would also potentially be affected both as consumers and as employees if there were reductions in public spending in specific sectors with a strong Māori presence, for example in the provision of health services.
This has consequent risks for Māori incomes and living standards, including housing. Basic costs such as food and power increased in the December quarter Consumer Price Index released 20 January 2009. On-going pressure on rentals will make it even more difficult for low income Māori to achieve good quality housing. Māori are already under-represented in home ownership figures and over-represented in rental accommodation figures. The recession is likely to accentuate these trends and consolidate the inter-generational effects of low home ownership rates.